AC Milan visits Sassuolo, need just a victory to secure the Serie A title. Sassuolo is coming off a 3-1 road win against Bologna on May 15 while AC Milan beat Atalanta 2-0 at home on May 15.
AC Milan leads the Serie A standings with 83 points in 37 games while Sassuolo is in 11th place with 50 points in 37 games.
The player to watch in this game is Olivier Giroud, who has nine goals and three assists in 28 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Giroud a 36 percent chance to score against Sassuolo. He has 49 SCA and 6 GCA in 28 Serie A games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
- Sassuolo: 5.40
- AC Milan: 1.54
- Draw: 4.70
Spread
- Sassuolo: +1: 1.98
- AC Milan: -1: 1.84
Total
- Over 3, 3.5: 1.95
- Under 3, 3.5: 1.86
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Sassuolo, coming off a 3-1 road win against Bologna on May 15, have 3 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last 5 Serie A games
AC Milan, coming off a 2-0 home win against Atalanta on May 15, have 5 wins, 0 losses and 0 draws in their last 5 Serie A games.
Momentum: AC Milan has been on an upward trend — with 5 wins in their last 5 Serie A games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on November 28, 2021 and Sassuolo won 3-1.
Projected Leaders
For Sassuolo, Domenico Berardi has a 25.56 percent chance to score. He averages 1.81 shots overall per sim, 1.07 shots on goal per and 1.81 goals per sim.
For AC Milan, Olivier Giroud has a 36 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.56 shots overall per sim, 0.77 shots on goal per and 0.44 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Under.
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 1.83 to Sassuolo 0.96.
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