AC Milan vs. Fiorentina: Serie A Game Preview

Posted by review2015 on April 28, 2022

AC-MILAN-VS-FIORENTINA
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AC Milan hosts Fiorentina in what should be a very entertaining Serie A game on Monday.

AC Milan is coming off a 2-1 road win against Lazio on April 24 while Fiorentina lost 2-1 on the road against Salernitana on April 24. AC Milan leads the Serie A standings with 74 points in 34 games while Fiorentina is in sixth place with 56 points in 33 games.

 

The player to watch in this game is Olivier Giroud, who has nine goals and three assists in 25 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Giroud a 30.12 percent chance to score against Fiorentina. He has 46 SCA and 6 GCA in 25 Serie A games this season. 

 

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. 

 

Dafabet Odds

 

Team to Win (Regular Time)

  • AC Milan: 1.72
  • Fiorentina: 4.90
  • Draw: 3.75

Spread

  • AC Milan: -0.5, -1: 1.91
  • Fiorentina: +0.5, +1: 1.90

Total

  • Over 2.5: 1.89
  • Under 2.5: 1.92

Key Points to Consider

 

Last 5: AC Milan, coming off a 2-1 road win against Lazio on April 24, have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 Serie A games.

 

Fiorentina, coming off a 2-1 road loss against Salernitana on April 24, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 Serie A games.

Momentum: AC Milan has been on an upward trend — with 2 wins in their last 3 Serie A games.

 

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on November 20, 2021 and Fiorentina won 4-3.

 

Projected Leaders

 

For AC Milan, Olivier Giroud has a 30.12 percent chance to score. He averages 1.24 shots overall per sim, 0.63 shots on goal per and 0.37 goals per sim.

 

For Fiorentina, Lucas Torreira has a 7.42 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.48 shots overall per sim, 0.23 shots on goal per and 0.08 goals per sim.

 

Analyst’s Pick

 

AC Milan Moneyline.

 

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Juventus in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 1.44 to Fiorentina 0.37.

 

Make sure to check all other MLB, NFL, NCAA, NHL, NBA and soccer game predictions from AccuScore.